921
FNUS71 KAKQ 021146
FWSAKQ

Spot Forecast for DOF ER Training...Virginia Department of Forestry
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
746 AM EDT Thu Oct 2 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on October 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service at 757-899-5734.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure builds into the region from the north today into
Friday bringing dry conditions. A light NE wind this morning is
expected to become E during the afternoon. Sunny this morning with
scattered clouds this afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 6 mph late in
                    the morning.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 3 to 12 mph shifting to the east 13
                    to 15 mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1609 mph-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (67390 mph-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................4 early in the morning increasing to 79 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........17  21  24  34  46  51  56  54  49  44
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............53  57  64  66  68  69  69  70  69  68
RH..............96  86  70  65  61  59  59  55  57  59
20 FT wind dir..N   NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..2   3   4   6   6   6   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.3   5   6   11  11  11  8   8   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.7 3.0 4.3 4.5 4.7 5.0 4.5 4.1 3.6
Transp wind dir.N   NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.3   7   12  15  15  14  13  13  13  13
LVORI...........8   4   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............4   16  43  76  79  75  37  35  60  56
Vrate mph-ft/1K.1   12  34  63  67  64  60  54  50  46
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR  FR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 49.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 14 mph shifting to the northeast 2 to
                    3 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (33925 mph-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (1035 mph-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................43 early in the evening decreasing to 1 late in
                    the night.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........41  33  29  26  22  19  19  20  20  21  21  22
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............66  62  58  56  55  54  54  53  53  52  51  51
RH..............63  72  83  86  90  93  93  96  100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N
20 FT wind spd..3   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   2
20 FT wind gust.5   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  N   N
Transp wind spd.14  14  14  13  12  10  8   6   3   2   2   2
LVORI...........1   3   4   5   6   6   6   8   10  10  10  10
ADI.............43  6   6   6   5   5   4   3   2   1   1   1
Vrate mph-ft/1K.33  20  6   6   5   5   3   2   1   1   1   1
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...ZIMMERMAN
Requested by...Jesse Bander
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2522822.1/AKQ
.DELDT 10/02/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jesse.bander@dof.virginia.gov