Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA

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FNUS71 KAKQ 301204
FWSAKQ

Spot Forecast for Thornton Slaugther Rx...VDOF
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
804 AM EDT Wed Apr 30 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on April 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service at 757-899-5734.

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front slowly drops south into the area later today, shifting
the winds from the southwest to the west-northwest at 5 to 10 mph.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected this afternoon.



.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-70 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms later in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northeast late in the afternoon. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4255 mph-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (34845 mph-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................7 to 44.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........58  54  50  51  52  51  51  53  54  50
Weather cov.....                        CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  15  30  30  30  30
Temp............69  74  76  79  81  84  86  85  86  84
RH..............75  68  63  58  53  48  45  46  45  47
20 FT wind dir..SW  WSW W   W   W   W   W   NW  N   NE
20 FT wind spd..5   5   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.8   8   10  9   8   7   7   7   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.7 2.7 3.8 4.4 5.0 5.6 5.1 4.6 4.1
Transp wind dir.SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.7   8   9   9   8   6   5   6   7   8
LVORI...........4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............7   18  32  44  44  38  34  37  42  44
Vrate mph-ft/1K.4   13  24  34  34  30  27  29  33  34
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 61.
Max humidity........87 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 8 mph shifting to the
                    northeast around 7 mph early in the evening,
                    then shifting to the east 6 to 8 mph in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (23574 mph-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (2645 mph-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................3 to 30.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........47  53  59  62  65  65  64  58  51  58  65  71
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  30  30  30  10  10  10  0   0   0   0
Temp............83  80  76  73  70  69  67  67  66  65  64  63
RH..............49  56  64  71  78  81  84  81  84  84  84  87
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..4   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.7   6   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...2.9 1.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.NW  N   NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE
Transp wind spd.8   7   7   7   8   8   8   8   7   7   6   6
LVORI...........1   2   3   3   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   6
ADI.............30  5   3   3   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3
Vrate mph-ft/1K.23  12  3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 6 to 8 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 3 to 6 mph shifting to the southeast 3 to
                    10 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3564 mph-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (36225 mph-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................3 to 36.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........72  73  74  69  65  60  59  59  58  57  56  55
Weather cov.....                                CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                CHC CHC CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  40  40  40  40
Temp............62  64  65  69  73  77  79  81  82  83  85  84
RH..............87  81  78  70  64  58  56  54  53  51  48  49
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   3   4   6   7   7   8   8
20 FT wind gust.3   3   3   3   3   5   6   11  12  12  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.7 2.1 2.8 3.4 4.1 3.9 3.7 3.5
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   5   3   3   3   3   5   7   9   10
LVORI...........6   4   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   1   1   1
ADI.............3   6   7   8   9   9   10  12  21  30  31  36
Vrate mph-ft/1K.3   4   5   6   6   7   8   12  17  24  32  36
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...BROWN
Requested by...Tyler Hill
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2512330.0/AKQ
.DELDT 04/30/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL tyler.hill@dof.virginia.gov