


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Juneau, AK
Issued by NWS Juneau, AK
466 FXAK67 PAJK 261256 AFDAJK Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Juneau AK 456 AM AKDT Sat Apr 26 2025 .SHORT TERM...SEAK is expected to see a break in conditions for the weekend before the next system moves in Sunday afternoon. A weak trough moving through the Gulf of Alaska will continue the chance for light, non- accumulating showers in the southern panhandle through the early morning, though dry weather is expected for a majority of the panhandle today. Winds through the inner channels will decrease to light and variable, while the eastern gulf will see fresh breezes with gusts of 25 to 30 kts along the northern coast. The next system will bring the active pattern back to the panhandle with elevated winds and rain expected into next week. .LONG TERM.../Sunday through Friday/...Continued wet weather pattern for the mid and long range forecast over SE AK. Advancing low/front Sunday into Monday now tracking further north. Overland winds increasing by early Monday. Moderate to heavy rain should be more widespread but with heaviest amounts aimed at the southern areas with totals of an inch to two inches. The next system coming in late next week is a low pressure system that all ensembles show coming in along the western Gulf from the Aleutian Islands, bringing precipitation to the panhandle around Wednesday into Thursday night. All ensemble guidance at this time points towards an upper level ridge over B.C. and a low cutting into the western Gulf. Southerly winds for northern areas increase as the pressure gradients tighten. EFI showing QPF for this time of year across parts of the panhandle Thursday. && .AVIATION...A few areas will see IFR or LIFR conditions early in the morning as fog and a low stratus deck developed over parts of the area. Conditions will otherwise be VFR through the day across the panhandle, with the areas currently experiencing fog seeing rapidly improving weather through the latter half of the morning. Some lingering mid and upper level cloud cover is expected, especially across the southern half of the panhandle, from a system stalled over the eastern Gulf. && .MARINE...Outside: A weak trough moving over the Eastern Gulf with narrow band of increasing winds reaching strong breeze (22 to 27 kt). The advancing low Sunday night into Monday now tracking further north bringing more defined SE max small craft low end gale force winds overnight. As parent low moves into NE Gulf small craft westerlies develop then diminish Monday into early Tuesday. Next small craft front tracks in Wednesday. Eastern gulf seas building to 12 ft from swell and wind waves by Monday. Inside: Most of the inner channels will be experiencing light breezes (7 to 10 kt) today, though some areas will at times go calm. Winds will begin to strengthen again during the latter half of Sunday with advancing front. Stronger winds near Clarence Strait/ Dixon Entrance early Monday. Northerly shift with passing front but then return to southerlies. Ridging over the panhandle Tuesday picking up pressure gradient with south winds of 15 to 20 kt, mainly for NS channels such as Lynn Canal. && .AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... PUBLIC...Dense Fog Advisory until 8 AM AKDT this morning for AKZ326. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ652-662>664-671-672. && $$ SHORT TERM...ZTK LONG TERM....PRB AVIATION...GFS MARINE...PRB Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau