Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Juneau, AK

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466
FXAK67 PAJK 261256
AFDAJK

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
456 AM AKDT Sat Apr 26 2025

.SHORT TERM...SEAK is expected to see a break in conditions for
the weekend before the next system moves in Sunday afternoon. A
weak trough moving through the Gulf of Alaska will continue the
chance for light, non- accumulating showers in the southern
panhandle through the early morning, though dry weather is
expected for a majority of the panhandle today. Winds through the
inner channels will decrease to light and variable, while the
eastern gulf will see fresh breezes with gusts of 25 to 30 kts
along the northern coast. The next system will bring the active
pattern back to the panhandle with elevated winds and rain
expected into next week.

.LONG TERM.../Sunday through Friday/...Continued wet weather pattern
for the mid and long range forecast over SE AK. Advancing low/front
Sunday into Monday now tracking further north. Overland winds
increasing by early Monday. Moderate to heavy rain should be more
widespread but with heaviest amounts aimed at the southern areas
with totals of an inch to two inches. The next system coming in late
next week is a low pressure system that all ensembles show coming in
along the western Gulf from the Aleutian Islands, bringing
precipitation to the panhandle around Wednesday into Thursday night.
All ensemble guidance at this time points towards an upper level
ridge over B.C. and a low cutting into the western Gulf. Southerly
winds for northern areas increase as the pressure gradients tighten.
EFI showing QPF for this time of year across parts of the panhandle
Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION...A few areas will see IFR or LIFR conditions early in
the morning as fog and a low stratus deck developed over parts of
the area. Conditions will otherwise be VFR through the day across
the panhandle, with the areas currently experiencing fog seeing
rapidly improving weather through the latter half of the morning.
Some lingering mid and upper level cloud cover is expected,
especially across the southern half of the panhandle, from a
system stalled over the eastern Gulf.

&&

.MARINE...Outside: A weak trough moving over the Eastern Gulf with
narrow band of increasing winds reaching strong breeze (22 to 27
kt). The advancing low Sunday night into Monday now tracking further
north bringing more defined SE max small craft low end gale force
winds overnight. As parent low moves into NE Gulf small craft
westerlies develop then diminish Monday into early Tuesday. Next
small craft front tracks in Wednesday. Eastern gulf seas building to
12 ft from swell and wind waves by Monday.

Inside: Most of the inner channels will be experiencing light
breezes (7 to 10 kt) today, though some areas will at times go
calm. Winds will begin to strengthen again during the latter half
of Sunday with advancing front. Stronger winds near Clarence
Strait/ Dixon Entrance early Monday. Northerly shift with passing
front but then return to southerlies. Ridging over the panhandle
Tuesday picking up pressure gradient with south winds of 15 to 20
kt, mainly for NS channels such as Lynn Canal.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Dense Fog Advisory until 8 AM AKDT this morning for AKZ326.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ652-662>664-671-672.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...ZTK
LONG TERM....PRB
AVIATION...GFS
MARINE...PRB

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