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FNAK79 PAFG 011647
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for AFS DTA RX 2026...Alaska Fire Service
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
847 AM AKDT Fri May 1 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 AKDT on May 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
The strong southerly winds occuring this morning diminish Saturday
night. A frontal boundary wavers back and forth across the burn site
Sunday through Tuesday bringing multiple wind shifts and chances for
rain. Light east winds and breaks in the cloud cover allow for deep
mixing on Sunday when the lowest RH values are forecast. A warm front
approaches the burn site Sunday evening bringing more clouds and
increasing southeast winds by Monday morning. Southeast winds may
gust up to 30 mph Monday afternoon before weakening while shifting
southerly Monday night then west-northwesterly by Tuesday morning
after a cold front passage. The best chance for rain is behind this
cold front Tuesday afternoon through Tuesday night.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the afternoon.
CWR.................2 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Max temperature.....Around 51.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east up to 10 mph
in the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......East 5-10 mph.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL increasing to 5600 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....East-southeast around 6 mph.
Inversion burnoff...0800 AKDT.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the evening, then slight chance of
                    rain showers overnight.
CWR.................2 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Min temperature.....Around 34.
Max humidity........77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Southeast around 15 mph
Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in the
                    late evening through the overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 7 mph.
Inversion setup.....2100 AKDT.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers in the morning, then chance of
                    rain showers in the afternoon.
CWR.................5 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph increasing to 14 to
18 mph during the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......Southeast 25 to 30 mph.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL increasing to 2600 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....East-southeast around 18 mph.
Inversion burnoff...0800 AKDT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely late. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the lower 50s. West winds around 6 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in
the lower 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...
Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers. Lows in the lower
30s. Highs in the lower 50s. South winds around 5 mph.

$$
Forecaster...KUTTA
Requested by...Joe Erickson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2612319.0/AFG
.DELDT 05/01/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jerickson@blm.gov