Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Fairbanks, AK

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Spot Forecast for Tok Fire...Wildland Fire Service (National Park Service)
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
341 PM AKDT Tue Apr 21 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1600 AKDT on April 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Overall the next few days will remain cloudy, with temperatures
staying around a max of high 30s and low 40s, and mins around
10-15 degrees fahrenheit. RH will range between 13-40% with lower
values expected in the evening and higher values expected during
the day. WInd speeds will be calm ranging between 5-10 mph for the
next 3 days. There are chance of mixed precipitation of
snow/rain, and there is a low probability of thunderstorm
development. There will be a significant windshift from NW at 18
mph Today to SE and light by Wednesday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers.
CWR.................5 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Max temperature.....Around 39.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 8 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......NW 16-22 mph.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 18 mph.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Scattered snow
                    showers in the evening.
CWR.................5 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Min temperature.....Around 13.
Max humidity........79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
Ridgetop wind.......Light winds out of the south.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 9 mph.
Inversion setup.....

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Max temperature.....Around 42.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Ridgetop wind.......SE Winds light.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Inversion burnoff...

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper 40s.
South winds around 6 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Mostly cloudy with slight chance of rain and snow. Lows around
30. Highs in the upper 40s. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs around 50. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...MACKAY
Requested by...Joe Erickson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2611249.0/AFG
.DELDT 04/21/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jerickson@blm.gov