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FNAK79 PAFG 230817
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for Nenana Ridge Complex...SOA/DOF
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
1217 AM AKDT Sat Aug 23 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 AKDT on August 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A warm front moves east across the state Saturday bringing
periods of moderate to heavy rain and gusty southwesterly winds to
the area near the fire. These conditions are expected to worsen
in the early morning and last through most of the day, fading
after 9pm. Southwesterly wind gusts up to 35 mph are possible.
Heavy rain and strong winds could significantly impact burn
scarred regions of the area. Winds decrease for Sunday and Monday,
but rain remains with very high chances of wetting rain expected
through Monday. Sunday will see the heaviest rain with well over
half an inch of rainfall possible. Temperatures stagnate under the
rain with highs in the upper 50s to lower 60s through Monday. Tuesday
will see some warming and clearing as pressure begins to build
with warmer and drier conditions expected for the latter half of
the week.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Numerous rain showers.
CWR.................66 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 35 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph. Gusts up to 35 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL increasing to 2900 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Inversion burnoff...6am, as rain mixes out inversion.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Widespread rain
                    showers in the evening, then rain overnight.
                    Areas of fog overnight.
CWR.................79 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........99 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph
                    in the evening.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 17 mph.
Inversion setup.....3am, as elevated inversion.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Areas of fog. Rain.
CWR.................99 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........87 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 8 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 11 mph.
Inversion burnoff...N/A Elevated inversion persists through the day.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
Areas of fog. Rain. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs around 60.
Southwest winds around 7 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
60s. South winds around 9 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly cloudy with chance of rain. Lows around 50. Highs in the
mid 60s. South winds around 7 mph.

$$
Forecaster...STOKES
Requested by...Josh Chiles
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2520422.0/AFG
.DELDT 08/23/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dhorwath@blm.gov,josh.chiles@alaska.gov,liz.wallace@alaska.gov