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FNAK79 PAFG 111442
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Spot Forecast for Monte Cristo Creek...Department of Natural Resources
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
642 AM AKDT Mon Aug 11 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 AKDT on August 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Scattered rain showers in the morning quickly dissipate
throughout the day with sunnier skies expected in the afternoon
and evening. Westerly winds calm throughout the day as higher
pressure builds in. Cooler temperatures today with highs in the
low to mid 50s warm Tuesday and Wednesday with highs in the low to
mid 60s under mostly sunny skies. Minimum RHs fall considerably
from the low 60s today into the upper 30s Tuesday. A low to the
west of the fire will provide increased southeasterly winds Tuesday
and increasing rain chances Wednesday night through Friday as it
moves east. No thunderstorms expected due to increasingly stable
air.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (65-75 percent). Scattered rain showers
                    late in the morning, then isolated rain showers
                    in the afternoon.
CWR.................19 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Max temperature.....Around 51.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph late in the morning
                    becoming light.
Ridgetop wind.......West winds around 10 mph in the morning becoming
                    light.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL increasing to 2900 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 7 mph.
Inversion burnoff...10am.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Ridgetop wind.......Southeast winds 10 to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph.
Inversion setup.....11pm, as a shallow surface inversion near valley floor

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph in the morning
                    becoming light.
Ridgetop wind.......Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph in the morning
                    becoming southeast around 10 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL increasing to 3700 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 8 mph.
Inversion burnoff...3pm, as inversion slowly lifts above the fire.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in
the lower 60s. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...
Mostly cloudy with chance of rain. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs
in the mid 50s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Cloudy with chance of rain. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
lower 50s. West winds around 8 mph.

$$
Forecaster...STOKES
Requested by...Brooklyn Detherage
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2519659.1/AFG
.DELDT 08/11/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ak.nfdc.dispatch@alaska.gov,dane.smigleski@alaska.gov