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Spot Forecast for Nenana Complex...AK
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
711 AM AKDT Sun Aug 3 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0918 AKDT on August 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Mostly cloudy conditions with chances for rain showers throughout
the day today and tomorrow. Isolated thunderstorms are possible
tomorrow, with rain showers becoming numerous tomorrow afternoon.
Winds are expected to be the strongest at ridgetops and the fire`s
elevation. Southwest winds could reach 15 to 20 mph sustained at
high elevations with a gradual direction change from southwest
today to west/southwest this evening into tomorrow. Minimum RHs
are expected to be in the upper 50% to lower 60% range, but may
become drier over the next few days as models are beginning to
show upper level ridging building over the Interior mid week. High
temps support cooler conditions in the upper 60s, but will most
likely increase as the ridge builds back in.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers late in the morning, then numerous rain
                    showers in the afternoon.
CWR.................23 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 11 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Around 0900.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers.
CWR.................23 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......West/southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Inversion setup.....N/A.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers in the morning. Isolated thunderstorms
                    through the day. Numerous rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................52 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......Isolated.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......West/southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL increasing to 3700 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 14 mph.
Inversion burnoff...N/A.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 70. Southwest winds around
7 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs
in the mid 70s. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$
Forecaster...SRINIVASAN
Requested by...Scott Laurie
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2518454.5/AFG
.DELDT 08/03/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL scott_laurie@firenet.gov,2025.nenanaridgecomplex.plans@firenet.gov, kris.baumgartner@alaska.gov