050
FNAK79 PAFG 200205
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for 218 Ninetyeight...Bureau of Land Management
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
605 PM AKDT Sat Jul 19 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 AKDT on July 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Tonight a front will move over the fire most likely around 1 am
to 5 am. This front will have weakened substantially by the time
it reaches the fire keeping winds generally light tonight.
Currently there are some prefrontal showers and very isolated
thunderstorms in the vicinity of the fire and these are expected
to increase in frequency with the front passage later tonight.
Isolated postfrontal showers will remain Sunday morning ahead of
another, stronger front the approaches Sunday night. This next
front will bring more widespread showers with higher chances of
wetting rain Sunday night through Tuesday, but will be too wet to
have much thunderstorm potential, although there is still a non-
zero chance of extremely isolated embedded thunderstorms amongst
the showers. Winds will shift behind the front around midnight
Sunday night to westerly with ridgetop winds up to 25 mph and
valley winds around 15 mph for areas not sheltered from the west.
These winds will decrease by about 10 mph by noon Monday.
Temperatures cool significantly behind this second front with
highs falling into the 60s Monday. Minimum RHs are expected to
climb from the 40s Sunday well past 50 Monday and remain high
through at least Wednesday.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Haze and areas
                    of smoke through the night. Numerous rain
                    showers and isolated thunderstorms in the
                    evening. Scattered rain showers overnight.
CWR.................19 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......Isolated.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the evening.
Ridgetop wind.......Light winds.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....North around 4 mph.
Inversion setup.....8pm as shallow inversion near valley bottom.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers in the morning, then scattered rain
                    showers in the afternoon.
CWR.................2 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Ridgetop wind.......Light winds.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL increasing to 3600 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 3 mph.
Inversion burnoff...11am inversion burns off completely.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Numerous rain
                    showers in the evening, then widespread rain
                    showers overnight.
CWR.................50 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........95 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 6 to 8 mph overnight.
Ridgetop wind.......West winds around 10 mph becoming West 15 to 25
                    mph after 2am.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 8 mph.
Inversion setup.....8pm as shallow inversion near valley bottom.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Numerous rain
                    showers.
CWR.................54 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 7 mph in the morning
                    becoming light.
Ridgetop wind.......West winds 15 to 20 mph in the morning becoming
                    west 10 to 15 mph after noon.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL increasing to 3300 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Inversion burnoff...1am as front arrives.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in
the lower 60s. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...
Cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in
the lower 60s. West winds around 5 mph.

$$
Forecaster...STOKES
Requested by...Military Zone
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2516341.21/AFG
.DELDT 07/19/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL david_gelderloos@firenet.gov,thatfield@blm.gov,akyfdc@firenet.gov,lburwell@blm.gov,jray@blm.gov,bprotas@blm.gov,gelderloosdavid3@gmail.com