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FNAK79 PAFG 220726
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for Nenana Ridge Complex...SOA/DOF
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
1126 PM AKDT Thu Aug 21 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 AKDT on August 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Multiple waves of rain are expected for the area through early
next week. High chances of wetting rain expected with particularly
heavy rain expected Sunday with well over half an inch possible.
Temperatures remain stagnant with highs remaining in the upper 50s
to low 60s through the weekend. Minimum RH remains high. Winds
primarily out of the southwest will peak Saturday with gusts up to
35 mph possible.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Numerous rain
                    showers in the morning, then scattered rain
                    showers in the afternoon.
CWR.................17 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 13 mph.
Inversion burnoff...10am.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers in the evening, then scattered rain
                    showers overnight.
CWR.................2 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Min temperature.....Around 49.
Max humidity........92 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 8 mph.
Inversion setup.....1am.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Numerous rain showers.
CWR.................47 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 14 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest winds 20 to 30 mph.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL increasing to 3500 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Inversion burnoff...8am, rain mixes out inversion early.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...
Rain. Numerous showers in the evening, then areas of fog. Lows in
the lower 50s. Highs around 60. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...
Rain. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs around 60. South winds around
9 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Rain. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 60s. South winds
around 12 mph.

$$
Forecaster...STOKES
Requested by...Josh Chiles
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2520422.0/AFG
.DELDT 08/22/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dhorwath@blm.gov,josh.chiles@alaska.gov,liz.wallace@alaska.gov