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Spot Forecast for Aggie Creek/Himalaya Creek Fires...UPDATED
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
209 AM AKDT Sun Aug 17 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 AKDT on August 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Updated to fix a typo in the discussion.

Clearing skies expected this morning allowing temperatures to
warm Sunday and Monday with highs near 60. Minimum RHs fall with
the rising temperatures into the 50s. Additional clouds and rain
chances are expected to return Monday night into Tuesday as a weak
front moves over the fire. Winds are expected to be fairly light
shifting from primarily northerly this morning to more southerly
overnight Sunday. Thunderstorms are not expected with this front
due to mostly stable conditions, although there is a very low,
nonzero, chance for one or two isolated thunderstorms appearing
along the frontal boundary Tuesday afternoon. Wednesday and
Thursday will see a brief period of clearer weather before another
round of rain approaches from the West Thursday night through the
weekend.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Ridgetop wind.......Light winds.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL increasing to 3200 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 3 mph.
Inversion burnoff... 11am.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Min temperature.....Around 46.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Ridgetop wind.......Light winds.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL decreasing to 300 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....South around 4 mph.
Inversion setup.....10pm.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL increasing to 4500 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....South around 6 mph.
Inversion burnoff... 11am.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
Rain likely. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 50s. Light
winds.
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs
around 60. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs around
60. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...STOKES
Requested by...Jim Jaminet
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2519462.10/AFG
.DELDT 08/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jordan.kelley@alaska.gov,torrey.short@alaska.gov,liz.wallace@alaska.gov,jimjaminet@gmail.com,nail.rafikov@alaska.gov