958
FNAK79 PAFG 020637
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for Birch Lake Fire...State of Alaska
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
1037 PM AKDT Tue Jul 1 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 AKDT on July 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 10 PM AKDT
WEDNESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
Hot, dry, and windy conditions are expected today. Temperatures
will hover around 80 through the weekend. With the elevation of
the fire, it should keep the RH today in the 25% to 30% range.
Winds will begin to strengthen by 10 am Wednesday, with sustained
winds of 15 to 20 mph. There could be occasional gusts of 30 mph.
The winds will shift to be easterly around 4pm, but keep a similar
strength. Around midnight the winds will weaken, but expect east
winds through Thursday.

Hot and dry conditions will continue through the weekend, but
winds will remain fairly light after Wednesday.
.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......Isolated.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 10 to 17 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast winds 15 to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL increasing to 7000 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Inversion burnoff...0700 AKDT

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    mostly clear (20-30 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......Isolated.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 15 to 20 mph decreasing to around 6
                    mph overnight.
Ridgetop wind.......East winds 15 to 25 mph.
Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....East around 13 mph.
Inversion setup.....0300 AKDT

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 8 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......East winds 7 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL increasing to 8200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 11 mph.
Inversion burnoff...0800 AKDT

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...
Mostly clear. Haze. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Haze. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...DENNIS
Requested by...Bryan Quimby
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517024.1/AFG
.DELDT 07/02/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brittany.stillie@alaska.gov,bryan_quimby@fws.gov,torrey.short@alaska.gov