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FNAK79 PAFG 060211
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for Nenana Ridge Complex...IMT - Georgia Forestry Commission
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
611 PM AKDT Sat Jul 5 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 AKDT on July 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Gusty east-northeast winds are aloft and at ridgetop level. We can
see these winds on radar pushing the convective plume off to the west.
These northeasterly winds will continue until a wind shift to the
southwest occurs around 2200 AKDT. We are expecting the fire to stay
until well after midnight as those southwest winds push on it and
humidities stay low. Southwest winds remain gusty and continue on
Sunday. Temperatures and humidities will be similar to today.
Visibilities will continue to be impacted by smoke tonight and
Sunday. I

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent) but hazy and smoky.                     smoke.
CWR.................0 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Min temperature.....Around 67.around 2200 AKDT
Max humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 3 to 7 mph with gusts to 15 mph
                    shifting around 2200 AKDT to the southwest
                    5 to 10 mph with gusts to 20 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph with gusts to 15 mph
                    shifting around 2200 AKDT to the southwest 10 to
                    15 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
Mixing height.......8000 ft AGL decreasing to 1500 ft AGL late.
Transport winds.....Northeast shifting around 2200 AKDT southwest
                    around 12 mph.
Inversion setup.....Minimal inversion after 0400 AKDT Sunday.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Hazy and smoky.
                    Isolated showers or thunderstorms possible in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................5 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......Isolated.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 5 to 10 mph with gusts to 20 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL increasing to 5400 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 11 mph.
Inversion burnoff...early - around 0900 AKDT.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Haze and areas
                    of smoke. Scattered rain showers. Isolated
                    evening thunderstorms.
CWR.................15 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
Max humidity........75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 3 to 7.
Ridgetop wind.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL decreasing to 1200 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Inversion setup.....Around 2300 AKDT.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Haze and areas
                    of smoke. Scattered rain showers. Isolated
                    thunderstorms possible.
CWR.................25 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 3 to 7 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......West-southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......1200 ft AGL increasing to 4100 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Around 100 AKDT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
Widespread showers. Areas of smoke in the evening. Haze. Lows in
the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southwest winds around
8 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Cooler. Widespread showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower
60s. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...
Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the mid 60s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...MAIER
Requested by...Rachel Fonvielle, PSC3(t)
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517228.5/AFG
.DELDT 07/05/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL rachel_fonvielle@firenet.gov