607
FXAK68 PAFC 030105
AFDAFC

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
505 PM AKDT Tue Jun 2 2026

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 through 3: Today
through Friday afternoon)...

Unsettled conditions linger for Kodiak Island through tonight,
though conditions improve markedly by tomorrow afternoon as the
front weakens and pivots out of the region. The Flood Watch for
Kodiak Island is now set to end at 9 PM tonight, as precipitation
will end earlier than initially forecast.

For the Southcentral Mainland, expect hot and dry weather through
Thursday, with temperatures likely warmest tomorrow. By Thursday,
weaker upper level shortwaves moving in from the north could
bring a return of rain chances, though confidence is low at this
time. Regardless, get out and enjoy summer while you can!

-KC

&&


.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days
1 through 3)...

A front extending off a North Pacific low continue to bring
unsettled weather to the southern Alaska Peninsula and Eastern
Aleutians through the rest of today. Cloud cover stretches into
portions of southern Alaska today, with clearer skies expected
Wednesday and Thursday. High pressure is keeping the central and
western Bering Sea, Pribilof Islands, and Central/Western
Aleutians locked into low stratus. However, the Pribilof Islands
may see some clearing late tonight or Wednesday. Warmer
temperatures reaching into the 70`s filter into Southwest Alaska
tomorrow and Thursday, along with continued dry conditions.

KM

&&


.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 4 through 7: Saturday through
Tuesday)...

A more active pattern is expected to re-emerge this weekend and
into early next week as Arctic troughing pushes into mainland
Alaska, resulting in cooler temperatures across most of the state.
These troughs will break down the ridge of high pressure by
Saturday, bringing isolated to scattered showers and the
possibility for convective activity to return to the southern
Mainland through the period.

Two upper-level lows will track across the North Pacific, the
first of which moves to the south of the Central Aleutians by
Saturday and toward Southeast Alaska through Sunday. This leading
low has trended weaker and more progressive in recent model runs,
with increased confidence of it passing South of the state with
more minimal impacts. There remains quite a bit of run-to-run
uncertainty regarding the track of the second low, with ensemble
means placing it near the central Aleutians by Tuesday night. This
system appears to have a greater potential to track further north
and interact with an upper trough, potentially bringing impacts
to Southwest and Southcentral later next week.

-CW

&&



.AVIATION...

PANC...VFR conditions will persist. A light sea breeze will
develop this afternoon with winds becoming light and variable
after 6Z.

&&


$$