357
FNAK71 PAFC 220146
FWSAER

Spot Forecast for Nelchina Glacier...AK-DOF
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
546 PM AKDT Mon Jul 21 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 AKDT on July 22.
.DISCUSSION...

Cooler, moister weather is on deck for the area around the
Nelchina fire over the next few days. Scattered showers will be
possible through the day Tuesday, with rainfall amounts initially
very little. A larger and more steady area of rain is expected to
move over Tuesday evening and continue into the night with a
quarter to half inch of rainfall expected by Wednesday morning.
Rainfall may linger into the morning for a bit before becoming
showery and light once again by the afternoon.


.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers in the morning, then numerous rain
                    showers in the afternoon.
CWR.................12 percent.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 6 mph early in the morning
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 7 mph.
Pcpn amount.........0.08 inches.


.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-100 percent). Numerous rain
                    showers early in the evening, then widespread
                    rain showers in the late evening and overnight.
                    Numerous rain showers after 3 am.
CWR.................75 percent.
Chance of pcpn......95 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........94 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 6 mph
                    early in the evening, then shifting to the
                    northwest 7 to 9 mph in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 7 to 12 mph.
Pcpn amount.........0.42 inches.


.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Numerous rain showers
                    decreasing in the morning. Then scattered showers.
CWR.................50 percent decreasing to 30 percent.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Max temperature.....Around 56.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph in the morning
                    becoming light, then becoming north around 6
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 9 to 13 mph.
Pcpn amount.........0.21 inches.


$$
Forecaster...Brown
Requested by...Jenny Moser
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2518244.3/AER
.DELDT 07/21/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jenny.moser@alaska.gov