Suppression Forecast
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FNAK71 PAFC 240140
FWSAER

Spot Forecast for Nelchina Glacier...AK-DOF
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
540 PM AKDT Wed Jul 23 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 AKDT on July 24.
.DISCUSSION...

Expect drier conditions for Thursday with rain chances returning
for Thursday night and especially for Friday. Best chances wetting
rain occur on Friday. Light northwesterly winds, less than 10 mph,
on Thursday will shift to southwest late Friday afternoon and
increase to 10 to 15 mph. Wind gust spread will remain less than
10 mph Friday. Minimum relative humidities will remain elevated,
at or above 50 percent Thursday and Friday afternoons. Looking
ahead, showery conditions look to persist into Saturday with a
drying trend for Sunday.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers late in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    morning becoming light.
Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 6 mph.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the evening, then chance
                    of rain showers in the evening and overnight.
                    Slight chance of rain after 3 am.
CWR.................8 percent.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west around 6 mph late in
                    the evening, then becoming light overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the west in
                    the evening, then shifting to the north 5 to 6
                    mph overnight.
Pcpn amount.........0.07 inches.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain early in the morning,then
                    rain likely in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 30 percent.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........71 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 6 to 9 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southeast 7 to 12 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.20 inches.

$$
Forecaster...Nelson
Requested by...Jenny Moser
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2518244.5/AER
.DELDT 07/23/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jenny.moser@alaska.gov