Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
789
FNAK71 PAFC 061453
FWSAER
Spot Forecast for SRD Units Avy Acres...USFS
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
553 AM AKST Thu Nov 6 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 AKST on November 06.
.DISCUSSION...
A low pressure system moving through the Gulf of Alaska toward
the Southern Kenai Peninsula will bring frequent wind direction changes
and snow accumulations ranging from 5 to 10 inches by Friday evening.
Today`s northwesterly winds will switch more northeasterly this evening
as the storm moves closer to the area. This switch in wind
direction will coincide with an increase in wind gusts ranging from
from 25 to 35 mph. This northeasterly wind direction remains through
late tomorrow morning before switching to a more easterly direction.
However, easterly winds will continue to range from 25 to 35 mph into
tomorrow afternoon before slowly decreasing. Blowing and drifting of
snow is expected through Friday.
.REST OF TODAY...
CWR.................33 percent.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 25.
Min humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 8 to 9 mph.
Pcpn amount.........0.31 inches.
Snowfall amount.....4.0 inches.
TIME (AKST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
CWR.............30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30
Chc of pcpn (%).30 30 30 100 100 100 100 100 100
Temp............19 19 20 22 23 24 24 24 24
RH..............85 86 83 81 79 76 77 79 81
20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT wind spd..7 7 7 8 8 8 9 9 9
20 FT wind gust.10 10 10 12 12 12 10 10 10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.NW NW NW N N N N N N
Transp wind spd.8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9
Vent (m/s) .765 1026 1127
.TONIGHT...
CWR.................79 percent.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 24.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn amount.........0.41 inches.
Snowfall amount.....5.0 inches.
TIME (AKST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
CWR.............80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 80
Chc of pcpn (%).100 100 100 100 100 100 80 80 80 80 80 80
Temp............24 25 25 26 25 26 26 27 27 27 26 26
RH..............82 83 85 86 87 88 89 89 89 89 89 90
20 FT wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT wind spd..5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 17 17 17
20 FT wind gust.8 8 8 8 8 8 15 15 15 23 23 23
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
Transp wind spd.9 9 9 9 9 9 12 12 12 12 12 12
Venty (m/s) .1030 1226 1251 1660
.FRIDAY...
CWR.................21 percent.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 31.
Min humidity........74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusts up to 31 mph early in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 12 to 17 mph.
Pcpn amount.........0.05 inches.
Snowfall amount.....0.0 inches.
TIME (AKST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
CWR.............20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
Chc of pcpn (%).50 50 50 50 50 50 40 40 40 40 40 40
Temp............26 27 27 27 28 29 30 30 31 31 30 28
RH..............90 90 89 87 85 83 80 77 74 74 75 79
20 FT wind dir..NE NE NE E E E E E E E E E
20 FT wind spd..21 21 21 13 13 13 17 17 17 9 9 9
20 FT wind gust. 21 21 21 31 31 31 10 10 10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.5 1.5 1.5 0.9 0.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.NE NE NE NE NE NE E E E E E E
Transp wind spd.12 12 12 14 14 14 17 17 17 14 14 14
Vent (m/s) .1358 2133 4240 2107
$$
Forecaster...Johnston
Requested by...Nathan Basford
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525245.0/AER
.DELDT 11/06/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL paul.m.smith@usda.gov,phillip.ingersoll@usda.gov,ruth.damico@usda.gov,nathan.basford@usda.gov,ian.hlavin@usda.gov