Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD

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059
FNUS73 KABR 051312
FWSABR

Spot Forecast for Bois De Souix...MN DNR Wildlife
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
812 AM CDT Thu Jun 5 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on June 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Look for clouds to quickly increase this morning in
advance of showers and a few thunderstorms after 1400 this
afternoon. Relative humidity values will bottom out around 1200
around 39 percent. Rainfall today is expected to be a trace to
0.05 inches, unless a heavier shower or thunderstorm moves overhead.
0.15 to 0.35 inches of rain is forecast for tonight. Light rain
will linger into Friday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
CWR.................7 percent increasing to 15 percent late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Chance of lightning.28 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......2700-6000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (16100 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........69  74  79  84  89  89  89
Weather cov.....            SCH SCH CHC CHC
Weather type....            RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........            SCH SCH CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10  20  20  30  30
Chc of ltng (%).0   0   10  20  20  30  30
Temp............70  72  72  71  72  72  72
RH..............44  39  39  39  39  39  39
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..5   6   6   6   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.10  9   9   9   10  10  9
Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 5.1 6.0 5.3 4.6 3.5 3.3
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of thunderstorms
                    in the evening, then a slight chance of
                    thunderstorms overnight. Rain showers likely
                    through the night.
CWR.................16 percent increasing to 59 percent in the
                    evening, then decreasing to 39 percent
                    overnight.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Chance of lightning.28 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 6 mph shifting to the
                    south late in the evening, then becoming light
                    overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......300-2700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 10 mph shifting to the south around 7
                    mph overnight, then shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1300 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........89     94     98     99     89     84
Weather cov.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).40     60     60     70     50     50
Chc of ltng (%).30     20     20     20     20     10
Temp............70     65     61     59     57     55
RH..............44     60     75     87     93     100
20 ft wind......W 6    W 6    S 5    VRB 3  VRB 3  VRB 3
20 ft wind gust.9      8      7      6      6      6
Mix hgt (ft)....2700   800    300    300    300    300
Smoke Dispersal.POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers through the day. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................18 percent decreasing to 7 percent.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Chance of lightning.16 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast around 6 mph
                    early in the morning, then shifting to the
                    east. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms early in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......400-5600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 7 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 7 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1500 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........84        47        42        45
Weather cov.....S CHC     CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                              S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20        40        40        30
Chc of ltng (%).10        10        10        20
Temp............54        59        67        70
RH..............100       87        59        49
20 FT wind......VRB 3G6   E 6G8     E 7G9     E 7G13
Mix hgt (ft)....400       1900      4200      5600
Smoke Dispersal.POOR      POOR      POOR      POOR

$$
Forecaster...KF
Requested by...Jason Strege
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2515395.0/ABR
.DELDT 06/05/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jason.strege@state.mn.us