Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD
029
FNUS73 KABR 011036
FWSABR
Spot Forecast for North Red Iron Lake Middle...US Fish and Wildlife Service
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
536 AM CDT Sun Jun 1 2025
Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on June 01.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...Smoke over the North Red Iron Lake Middle area
should remain near the surface, but may not be as thick this
afternoon. Visibility early this morning has been around 2 miles
across portions of Marshall County and into North Dakota. Winds
will increase out of the southwest this afternoon around 9 to 12
mph as relative humidity falls to 38 percent. If smoke remains
thicker this afternoon, temperatures will not be as warm, and
relative humidity values will stay in the 40 percent range. Our
dry weather will be changing Monday, with showers and
thunderstorms becoming likely in the afternoon into the evening.
There is a 75 percent chance of 0.25 inches of rain or more Monday
afternoon through Monday evening. The main concern will be with
any remaining fires Monday afternoon and evening as a cold front
moves through. There is significant uncertainty on timing of the
cold front, which could be as early as 1300 or closer to 1800
Monday. The cold front will be a rapid wind shift, with winds
shifting out of the north to northwest and gusting near 40 mph. A
few strong to near severe storms will also be possible Monday
afternoon and evening, with the strongest storms expected to stay
east of the fire area at this time.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Areas of smoke,
then patchy smoke late in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......600-4800 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 7 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3600 knot-ft) increasing to fair (55700
knot-ft) in the afternoon.
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........73 73 73 73 74 73 66 58 50 43
Weather cov.....ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS PTY PTY
Weather type....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of ltng (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............65 69 74 76 77 79 80 81 82 82
RH..............69 68 57 52 48 45 44 42 40 38
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..5 6 7 8 9 10 10 12 12 12
20 FT wind gust.8 9 12 13 14 15 16 17 17 17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.0 1.7 2.8 3.7 4.2 4.4 4.6 4.8 4.6
Smoke Dispersal.PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Areas of
smoke.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
Max humidity........72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 9 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......500-4400 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (53200 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (4200 knot-ft) late in the
night.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........36 36 35 35 36 38 39 39 40 41 38 46
Weather cov.....ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS
Weather type....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of ltng (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Temp............82 81 78 73 69 67 66 64 64 64 64 63
RH..............40 41 48 57 63 65 68 70 67 67 65 70
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW S S S S S S S S S
20 FT wind spd..12 12 10 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 12 12
20 FT wind gust.17 17 15 14 14 14 15 16 16 16 18 18
Mix hgt (kft)...4.4 3.7 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8
Smoke Dispersal.FR FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Areas of smoke in
the morning and early afternoon. Slight chance
of thunderstorms early in the afternoon,
becoming likely late in the afternoon.
Showers likely in the afternoon.
CWR.................2 percent increasing to 51 percent in the
afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Chance of lightning.51 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 12 to 18 mph with gusts to around
31 mph shifting to the southwest around 18 mph
with gusts to around 31 mph late in the
afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......800-4300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 22 mph shifting to the west 22 to
23 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10200 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to good (80900 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........53 61 39 29 29 28 27 26 39 52 65 71
Weather cov.....ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 10 60 70 70 70 70
Chc of ltng (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 50 50
Temp............62 65 68 72 75 77 79 80 80 80 78 75
RH..............72 65 63 59 52 50 47 45 45 47 50 56
20 FT wind dir..S S SW SW S S S S S SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..12 13 14 14 14 14 15 16 17 18 18 18
20 FT wind gust.18 23 24 25 25 25 25 26 28 30 31 31
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.5 3.8 4.3 4.0 3.5
Smoke Dispersal.PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR GD GD GD GD
$$
Forecaster...KF
Requested by...Kathryn Sebes
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2515107.0/ABR
.DELDT 06/01/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kathryn_sebes@fws.gov