034
FNUS75 KABQ 171221
FWSABQ

Spot Forecast for Mogote Ridge Fire - new...USFS
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
621 AM MDT Thu Sep 17 2026

If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Radar rainfall estimates show that between one quarter and three
quarters of an inch fell over the wildfire within the past 24
hours. Similar amounts are likely over the next 24 hours. A batch
of showers currently moving through the area now will end around
10 AM this morning. After a break mid-day, more showers and storms
will re-develop during the mid and late afternoon. Some storms
could produce heavy rainfall rates and there is a threat of flash
flooding today. Another batch of persistent showers is likely
during the overnight period. Storms are likely again Friday
afternoon. Friday`s storms could produce strong outflow wind
gusts and small hail.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers and patchy fog in
the morning, then numerous showers and storms
in the afternoon.
Chance of Pcpn......90 percent.
Max Temperature.....59-63.
Min Humidity........78-82 percent.
20 Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing Height.......4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 16 knots.
Max Vent Rate.......Good/72111 knot-ft at 1400 local.
Ventilation Trend...Poor/24198 knot-ft around mid morning and
                    good/72000 knot-ft by mid afternoon.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and storms in
the evening, then numerous rain showers
overnight.
Chance of Pcpn......90 percent.
Min Temperature.....46-50.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
20 Foot Winds.......Light and variable winds. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms in the
evening.
Ventilation Trend...Poor/30000 knot-ft by early evening and poor/0
                    knot-ft by late evening.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog in the morning.
                    Scattered rain showers in the morning, then
                    numerous showers and storms in the
afternoon.
Chance of Pcpn......70 percent.
Max Temperature.....59-63.
Min Humidity........67-71 percent.
20 Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 9 knots.
Max Vent Rate.......Fair/45000 knot-ft at 1500 local.
Ventilation Trend...Poor/12049 knot-ft around mid morning and
                    fair/45000 knot-ft by mid afternoon.

$$

For more information and situational awareness graphics, please visit:
https://www.weather.gov/abq/forecasts-fireweather-dss

Forecaster...16
Requested by...Evan DAmore
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2622061.0/ABQ
.DELDT 09/17/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0